2016.06.18.Catastrophe

2016.06.18.Catastrophe (2016.06.18.Катастрофа) refers to disappearance of children of age 12–14 at the lake Syamozero, Russia.

Of order of 50 persons, mainly children, are reported to travel across the lake with 3 vessels at stormy night, leaving from Hotel Syamozero (Парк-отель Сямозеро, 61.90758, 33.01801, Kilonsaari ). Some ten of them are believed to be killed within 20 hours since the crash (overkill) of two boats during the storm.

Contradictions and inconsistencies appear in the publications about the event.

Overview of contradictions
The mutually-contradictive publication about that event are observed. The contradictions are interpreted as evidence of sabotage of the administration and that of the criminal police officers who investigate the case. Number victims indicated by various authors varies from 11 to 16.

Coordinates of the place of the catastrophe 61.92,33.05 shown the map are very approximate. These coordinate indicate rather the position of lake Syamozero than the place of overkill of any of the boats mentioned.

The police seem to determine neither the precise time, nor the precise place of the catastrophe, nor even the exact number of victims. Perhaps, the crash happened around 2016.06.18, 16:00, soon since the boats left from the Hotel Syamozero.

Impression about the event based on the published reports is suggested in this article.

Formulation of the problem: Uncertainties
The place of the crash, in the moment of the crash remain uncertain.

The place and time, where and when the survivors and the bodies of victims are found are found, remain uncertain.

The place and time, where and when their vessels are found also remain uncertain.

Even the full names of the survivors and those of the victims seem to be kept in secret.

Appearance of the mutually–inconsistent publications on the event is interpreted as evidence of the sabotage of the administration of Hotel Syamozero and that of the poise officers who perform the investigation and, apparently, misinform the authors of contradictory publications.

The revealing of the important details of the 2016.06.18.Catastrophe should be business of the police.

Analysis of the reasons, origins of the mutually-inconsistent publications causes the scientific interest.

From the scientific point of view, the police could reveal the complete list of participants of the expedition within an hour since the first report of the catastrophe, from the administration of hotel Syamozero, as the expedition had been organised by this administration. In the similar way, as soon as some of the participants of the expedition are found – survivors or bodies of victims – the press–service of the police could inform the journalists about the number of survivors and number of victims; each of these numbers is supposed to be increasing function of time (except the case if anyone is reported to be found alive but dies in a hospital or in the way to hospital; but no such a case is reported for the 2016.06.18.Catastrophe); and, sum of these two numbers is supposed to remain no bigger than the total number of participants of the expedition.

Experimental results: observed publications, 2016.06.19
2016.06.19,12:45, Respublika Karelia indicates, that connection with the expedition is lost. (Does this mean, that before 2016.06.19,12:45, there was some communication with the expedition, and the head of the expedition had reported that "everything is fine"?)

2016.06.19,13.29, Respublika Karelia indicates, that 49 children take part in the expedition, with accompanied persons. .

2016.06.19,14:14, site DP reports about crash of two boats and death of 10 children. Fake reference to Interfax is suggested. .

2016.06.19,14:33, informing.ru indicates, that 2 boats have crash, with 26 humans on board: two adults and 14 children. The rule of arithmetics seems to be broken in that message. Ten children are reported to die.

2016.06.19,14:58, Алексей Берковиц publishes the list of participants of the expedition that suffered the 2016.06.18.Catastrophe. It is indicated that 10 of them are dead. The list contains 47 names, perhaps, customers of the hotel. :
 * 1) Станислав А. — 2003 г.р.
 * 2) Арсений Б. — 2003 г.р.
 * 3) Дарья Б. — 2003 г.р.
 * 4) Светлана Б. — 2003 г.р.
 * 5) Александр Б. — 2002 г.р.
 * 6) Влада В. — 2004 г.р.
 * 7) Владислав В. — 2003 г.р.
 * 8) Максим Г. — 2002 г.р.
 * 9) Денис Г. — 2004 г.р.
 * 10) Максим Г. — 2002 г.р.
 * 11) Василий Д. — 2002 г.р.
 * 12) Дмитрий Е. — 2004 г.р.
 * 13) Всеволод З. — 2004 г.р.
 * 14) Николай И. — 2004 г.р.
 * 15) Никита К. — 2002 г.р.
 * 16) Даниил К. — 2004 г.р.
 * 17) Максим К. — 2003 г.р.
 * 18) Татьяна К. — 2003 г.р.
 * 19) Дмитрий К. — 2003 г.р.
 * 20) Юлия К. — 2003 г.р.
 * 21) Анастасия К. — 2003 г.р.
 * 22) Арина К. — 2004 г.р.
 * 23) Наталья К. — 2003 г.р.
 * 24) Мария М. — 2004 г.р.
 * 25) Роман М. — 2004 г.р.
 * 26) Александр Н. — 2003 г.р.
 * 27) Артём Н. — 2003 г.р.
 * 28) Сергей Н. — 2003 г.р.
 * 29) Александр П. — 2003 г.р.
 * 30) Фёдор П. — 2003 г.р.
 * 31) Руслан П. — 2002 г.р.
 * 32) Максим П. — 2003 г.р.
 * 33) Алексей Р. — 2003 г.р.
 * 34) Владислав Р. — 2004 г.р.
 * 35) Ксения Р. — 2001 г.р.
 * 36) Евгений Р. — 2003 г.р.
 * 37) Юлия С. — 2002 г.р.
 * 38) Антон Т. — 2004 г.р.
 * 39) Иван Т. — 2004 г.р.
 * 40) Мария Т. — 2002 г.р.
 * 41) Анна Т. — 2003 г.р.
 * 42) Сергей У. — 2003 г.р.
 * 43) Даниил Ф. — 2003 г.р.
 * 44) Игорь Ф. — 2003 г.р.
 * 45) Геннадий Ш. — 2002 г.р.
 * 46) Амалия Ш. — 2003 г.р.
 * 47) Алина Я. — 2003 г.р.

2016.06.19,15:26, the Ekaterina Biktimirova (Екатерина Биктимирова) estimates the number of participants in the expedition to be 49; and 11 to them, all children, are reported to be dead. Time if the event is specified as night; weather conditions are specified as storm. .

2016.06.19,16:00, Rianovosti indicate, that Vladimir Markin, referring to Pavel Astahov, indicates, that there were 47 children and 4 instructors in the group. 11 children and one (adult) instructor are reported to be dead. The type of the sank vessels vessels is specified as baidarka (байдарка). The weather conditions are specified as "strongest storm". Sergei Sobianin ( Собянин Сергей Семенович) is reported to indicate, that the dead children are from Moscow. .

2016.06.19,15:49. Gleb Trifonov (Глеб Трифонов) suggests the list of 16 children, reported to be dead or disappeared at the 2016.06.18.Catastrophe :
 * 1) Арсений Б. 13 лет.
 * 2) Владислав В. 13 лет.
 * 3) Денис Г. 12 лет.
 * 4) Василий Д. 13 лет.
 * 5) Всеволод З. 12 лет.
 * 6) Даниил К. 11 лет.
 * 7) Максим К. 12 лет.
 * 8) Арина К. 12 лет.
 * 9) Мария М. 12 лет.
 * 10) Артем Н. 12 лет.
 * 11) Евгений Р. 13 лет.
 * 12) Игорь Ф. 12 лет.
 * 13) Геннадий Ш., г.р. 2002.
 * 14) Амалия Ш., г.р. 2003.
 * 15) Иванова Р.
 * 16) Васильева Л.

The same day, pravmir suggest different list of victims, that counts 14 names :


 * 1) Балакирев Арсений – 12 лет;
 * 2) Воронов Владислав – 12 лет;
 * 3) Гришин Денис – 12 лет;
 * 4) Дудоров Василий – 13 лет;
 * 5) Заслонов Всеволод – 12 лет;
 * 6) Киселёв Даниил – 12 лет;
 * 7) Ходосевич Максим – 12 лет;
 * 8) Макарова Мария – 12 лет;
 * 9) Некрасов Артём – 12 лет;
 * 10) Романов Евгений – 13 лет;
 * 11) Фомин Игорь – 12 лет;
 * 12) Шевадров Геннадий – 13 лет;
 * 13) Широких Амалия – 12 лет;
 * 14) Кочнева Арина – 12 лет.

2016.06.19,17:18, Sibnovosti indicates, that 3 boats with children have overkilled, and 12 children are dead. .

2016.06.19,17:59, Дмитрий Евстифеев and Герман Петелин indicate that the expedition consisted of 47 children (from 12 to 15 year old) and 4 instructors, and at least 15 children are dead. Children – customers of the hotel – are reported to be from Moscow and from Peterburg. .

2016.06.19,19:44, Александр Раскин (Александр Раскин) indicates, that the organisers of the expedition used to hide the catastrophe, and the rescue knew about the accident from the 12 year old girl, who, occasionally, survived, only in the next day.

2016.06.19,20:09. the Russian Sledkom indicates, that 14 bodies of children (and no adults) are found, and all of them were customers of hotel Syamozero. . Susected persons are named: Elena Reshetova (Елена Решетова, director), Vadim Vinogradov (Вадим Виноградов, administrator), Regina Ivanova (Регина Иванова, instructor), Ludmila Vasilieva (Людмила Васильева, instructor).

Experimental results: observed publications, 2016.06.20
2016.05.20,13:30, Евгений Грин indicates the moment of accident: 2016.06.18,16:23 .

2016.06.20, Дмитрий Лощинин indicates, that only one of the two boats had been overkilled, while another one smashed into rocks. .

2016.06.20,18:24, Никита Могутин indicates that the most of children dead of heavy traumas (only 2 of them dead of drowning). The expertise shows that first victims dead 2016.06.19 at 17:30, and the last dead 2016.06.20 at 14:00.

2016.06.20, 19:44, Ольга Янковская indicates that only 6 of bodies of the dead children were found in the life-jackets .

2016.06.20, Анастасия Сенникова indicates, that the children were found at many islands of the lake. This may mean, that the victims were drifted to the North side of the lake. Plural overkills are mentioned; vilagе Kudama is mentioned. .

Small part
Only small part of the publications on the subject are mentioned above. The publications mentioned indicate the apparent sabotage, at least of the official information sources. The lack of verified information cause multitude of versions. The number of dead children vary from 10 to 16; the number of crashed boats vary from unity to three. Places of the crash of each of these boats are not specified at all. Evolution of the wind velocity that time in the publications is not suggested. The same refer to estimate of the amplitude of waves; the estimates vary from 1.5 meter (that is easy to penetrate with the 12-seat boat shown in the figure) to 4 meter (that looks fantastic for the lake of 20 km size).

Some authors indicate that one victim reached the rescue service by phone call (that had been interpreted s a joke and ignored); the officials of the Russian rescue service negate such a case. Due to the total corruption of the Russian administration, there is no way to verify or to negate the hypothesis that the rescuers had received the emergency call, but ignored it. .

Resources
More detailed timeline of the tragedy is suggested by Андрей Григорьев (in Russian). At the top of his message, the vessel suffered the accident is qualified as raft. .

Most of news about 2016.06.18.Catastrophe are from life.ru, by authors who appear in TORI first time with the publications. Therefore, the certain observational selection may take place.

Some references (in Rissian and in Suomi) are loaded to Wikipedia,

https://ru.wikipedia.org/wiki/Гибель_школьников_на_озере_Сямозеро

https://fi.wikipedia.org/wiki/Säämäjärven_veneturma

Conspiorlogy
The lack of information from the police and administration and police provoke conspirology.

However, the concepts below are supposed to satisfy the TORI axioms. In particular, each concept should allow both, the confirmation, verification and the refutation. Irrefutable concepts are not qualified as scientific.

Natalia Sheveleva
Valeria Melnikova (Валерия Мельникова) indicates that Natalia Sheveleva indicates that the tragic expedition had been handled by Vadim Vinogradov (Вадим Виноградов); Natalia Sheveleva is sure that other "instructors" had no qualification for handling a boat, were forced to do this job, and cannot be responsible for the 2016.06.18.Catastrophe. .

Orphans
One victim of the 2016.06.18.Catastrophe, namely, Заслонов Всеволод Игорeвич is reported to have father (although separated).

Publications make impression, that other victims of the tragedy were orphans.

This observation shows good agreement with hypothesis that the catastrophe had been planned in the general trend of extermination of Russian orphans. Some links on this trend are collected in article Herod law.

Keywords
Парк-отель Сямозеро

Corruption, Herod law, Hotel Syamozero, Russia