File:NatoOldNewFront.jpg

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Figure 1 from Report by David A. Shlapak and Michael Johnson, 2016. [1].

References

  1. http://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RR1253.html David A. Shlapak, Michael Johnson. Reinforcing Deterrence on NATO's Eastern Flank, Wargaming the Defense of the Baltics. Related Topics: Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, North Atlantic Treaty Organization, Russia, Threat Assessment, Wargaming. Research Questions: What might the consequences be if Russia decided to reclaim the territory of the three Baltic republics — Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania — which are NATO members? What might be done to prevent or mitigate such a scenario? .. NATO cannot successfully defend the territory of its most exposed members. Fortunately, it will not require Herculean effort to avoid such a failure. Further gaming indicates that a force of about seven brigades, including three heavy armored brigades — adequately supported by airpower, land-based fires, and other enablers on the ground and ready to fight at the onset of hostilities — could suffice to prevent the rapid overrun of the Baltic states.

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