Coronavirus

From TORI
Revision as of 19:29, 6 March 2020 by T (talk | contribs) (Video Prazdnik)
Jump to: navigation, search

KoronavirusAlhazova2020.03.06.jpg


Coronavirus коронавирус is disease reported to spread since year 2019, mainly in China. At the beginning of year 2020, the special names are used for the virus that causes speeding epidemic disease: covid19 (Cocid-19) [1] and 2019-nCoV [2][3][4]. These two names seem to denote the same.

Warning. The main goals of this article is analysis of spreading of information about Coronavirus and, especially, 2019-nCoV: identification, classification, qualification of sources of the information.
For information about the disease and is spreading, the cited literature should be used rather than this article.

General

The cause or Coronavirus is believed to have virus origin (and form second part of the name).

The World Health Organization suggests [5] the description below:

Coronaviruses (CoV) are a large family of viruses that cause illness ranging from the common cold to more severe diseases such as Middle East Respiratory Syndrome (MERS-CoV) and Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS-CoV). A novel coronavirus (nCoV) is a new strain that has not been previously identified in humans.

The incubation period of the new (2020) coronavirus is believed to be about 10 days, with the shortest being one day and the longest 14 days. [6]. Up to 2020.01.26, yet, no vaccine against coronavirus is reported.

Spread

Look from 2020 January

2020.02.27, the New York Times suggests the map of the spreading of the decease for 2020.02.26, shown in first figure. [7]. Of order of 3000 people are believed to be infected, mainly in China.

The total tall for 2020.01.26 is estimated to be 80 people. [8]

2020.01.28, the first human-to-human case in Europe is reported. [9]

However, the reports about coronavirus contradict each other; one example of such a contradiction is shown in the first figure. Comparison of data for 2020.01.26 by NYT [7] to those for 2020.02.03 by rbc [10] indicates, that in during a week, in China, the amount of infected patients reduced from more than 27000 to 17205, id est, roughly, 10^4/week. The primitive extrapolation indicates, that to March, the epidemic should finish, at least in China.

Biological weapon

Alarmistic publications about the coronavirus are observed in 2020. Among them, the hypothesis is suggested that the Coronavirus (actially, the 2019-nCoV) is kind of biological weapon [11][12][13][14].

Such a weapon could be developed in the Russian institute Нииочбп (Pudozhskaya Ulitsa, 7, St Petersburg, Russia, 197110; Coordinates: 59.96550, 30.29227)

The infection is supposed to be in favor of the Russian administration, that is qualified as beneficiant. [15].
At least since century 19, the top of the Russian administration is believed to consider themselves as "Russia" (excluding from this therm the most of population) [16].

2020.01.24, The Guardian indicates that in 16 weeks, drugs against the new modification of the coronavirus may enter the testing stage [17].

2020.01.27, Онищенко Геннадий Григорьевич (Russia) declares, that there already exist of order of 30 drugs against the new Coroavirus [18].

Doing in 3 days of works, declared to require 16 weeks looks fantastic. However, the secret drugs against the biological weapon could be created in the USSR or in post-Soviet Russia together with elaboration of the dangerous virus.

Several authors indicate, that the coronavirus is not a human-developed weapon because it (perhaps, namely 2019-nCoV) is found in the bat population [19][20][21]

2020.02.01, halturnerradioshow indicates, that, contrary, the bat-odigin virus could be adopted to affect humans only in a military laboratory. [22]

Fiction

CoronavirusBoshirovPetrov.jpg \( \phantom{123} \) Suspected visitors

World-side spreading of decease that is dangerous for existing of human civilization is used as subject of art.

1910, Jack London describes the attack on China with biologic weapon in novel The Unparalleled Invasion. [23][24]

Video Prazdnik

Soviet researcher "Voskresenski" (Воскресенский), who developes the biologic weapon during World War II is described in video Праздник (2019, In Russian) [25]

Apparently, the movie refers to the biggest biologic institute in Peterburg, Нииочбп (Институт особо чистых биологических препаратов).

In year 2019, the Russian administration prohibits demonstration of that movie in movie theaters. Such a censorship indicates, that the staff of Нииочб still continue to work on bioweapon, and the Russian authorities try to hide this idea from the public.

2020 February, this hypothesis gets an additional verification. At the server of Нииочб, the sites about scientific research and sites about staff who perform the research become unreachable.

This can be interpreted as indication, that the big goal is achieved, and the persons who had worked on it are "eliminated" (killed or jailed) in order to avoid spreading of information about research performed in Нииочбп.

Such a hypothesis can be checked (verified or rejected). Within this hypothesis, it is expected, the researchers from at least one of laboratories of Нииочбп, will never more appear in program a program of any international conference. Within this hypothesis, one may expect, no staff of Нииочб, mentioned at their site in 2019, will appear at any international meeting on virology since year 2020.

Warning

References about the Coronavirus are collected and analyzed in TORI for scientific goals.

Any fight against the desease (or against "bad people" who make business on this decease) is not an element of set of these goals.

References

  1. https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa2002032 Wei-jie Guan et al. Clinical Characteristics of Coronavirus Disease 2019 in China. February 28, 2020. BACKGROUND. Since December 2019, when coronavirus disease 2019 (Covid-19) emerged in Wuhan city and rapidly spread throughout China, data have been needed on the clinical characteristics of the affected patients. .. We extracted data regarding 1099 patients with laboratory-confirmed Covid-19 from 552 hospitals in 30 provinces, autonomous regions, and municipalities in mainland China through January 29, 2020.
  2. https://www.who.int/publications-detail/surveillance-case-definitions-for-human-infection-with-novel-coronavirus-(ncov) Surveillance case definitions for human infection with novel coronavirus (nCoV). 10 January 2020. This document summarizes WHO recommendations for surveillance of the novel coronavirus (nCoV) recently identified in Wuhan, China (2019-nCoV). WHO will update these recommendations as new information becomes available on the situation in Wuhan, China. This interim guidance was adapted from WHO’s guidance materials published for Middle East Respiratory coronavirus (MERS-CoV) and will be updated regularly.
  3. https://www.who.int/docs/default-source/coronaviruse/situation-reports/20200125-sitrep-5-2019-ncov.pdf Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV) SITUATION REPORT - 5 25 JANUARY 2020. ZIKA VIRUS Data as reported by: 25 January 2020 SUMMARY Situation update: • A total of 1,320 confirmed cases have been reported for novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) globally; • Of the 1,320 cases reported, 1,297 cases were reported from China, including Hong Kong SAR (5 confirmed cases), Macau SAR (2 confirmed cases) and Taipei (3 confirmed cases). • A total of 1,965 suspected cases have been reported from 20 Chinese provinces, regions and cities (excluding Hong Kong SAR, Macau SAR and Taipei). • Twenty-three confirmed cases have been reported outside of China in nine countries (see table-1). • Of these 23 confirmed cases, 21 had travel history to Wuhan City, China; one case in Australia had direct contact with a confirmed case from Wuhan while in China; and one confirmed case in Viet Nam had no travel history to any part of China as mentioned in situation report published on 24 January. According to preliminary investigations, this constitutes an instance of human to human transmission within a family. • Of the 1,287 confirmed cases (excluding Hong Kong SAR, Macau SAR and Taipei), 237 cases have been reported as severely ill2 . • Forty-one deaths have been reported to date (39 deaths in Hubei province, one death in Hebei province and one in Heilongjiang province). • On 25 January 2020, the number of reported confirmed cases of 2019-nCoV has increased by 474 cases since the last situation report published on 24 January 2020. WHO’s assessment of the risk of this event has not changed since the last update (22 Jan): very high in China, high at the regional level and moderate at the global level.
  4. https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/index.html?CDC_AA_refVal=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.cdc.gov%2Fcoronavirus%2Fnovel-coronavirus-2019.html Situation Summary The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) is closely monitoring an outbreak of respiratory illness caused by a novel (new) coronavirus first identified in Wuhan, Hubei Province, China. Chinese authorities identified the new coronavirus, which has resulted in more than a thousand confirmed cases in China, including cases outside Wuhan City. Additional cases have been identified in a growing number of other international locations, including the United States, where 5 cases in travelers from Wuhan have been confirmed in four states (AZ, CA, IL, WA) as of January 26, 2020. There are ongoing investigations to learn more. About 2019 Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV).
  5. https://www.who.int/health-topics/coronavirus Coronavirus (2020.02.27). Coronaviruses (CoV) are a large family of viruses that cause illness ranging from the common cold to more severe diseases such as Middle East Respiratory Syndrome (MERS-CoV) and Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS-CoV). A novel coronavirus (nCoV) is a new strain that has not been previously identified in humans. ..
  6. https://news.cgtn.com/news/2020-01-26/China-s-mobilizing-additional-medics-to-Wuhan-NzhmXNHu4U/index.html Guo Meiping. Official: China is in a critical coronavirus control period. Updated 21:12, 26-Jan-2020. China is in a critical juncture in the prevention and control of the new coronavirus outbreak, Ma Xiaowei, director of the National Health Commission, said at a press conference on Sunday.// Calling the situation complicated, officials at the press conference said if the current measures can be implemented effectively, experts think the spread of virus can be curbed.// China has mobilized seven groups of 900 medical staff to aid Hubei Province and will send 12 more teams with 1,600 medical personnel in two days to Wuhan City, the center of the novel coronavirus outbreak, as part of the latest efforts to control the spread of the coronavirus, according to officials.// 'Very different from SARS'// The incubation period of the new coronavirus is about 10 days, with the shortest being one day and the longest 14 days, Ma said at the press conference, adding that the virus is infectious during the incubation period, which is very different from SARS. He believes that the outbreak will continue for some time.// "Our understanding of the new virus is still limited, the source of infection has not yet been identified and the risk of mutation is unclear," Ma said, adding that there will be changes in the virus over time, and the severity of the virus in different age groups is also changing.
  7. 7.0 7.1 https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/01/21/world/asia/china-coronavirus-maps.html Wuhan Coronavirus Map: Tracking the Spread of the Outbreak By K.K. Rebecca Lai, Jin Wu and Allison McCannUpdated Jan. 27, 2020 The Wuhan coronavirus has sickened more than 2,700 people in Asia, according to statements from health officials. Many other cases are suspected but not confirmed. As of Monday morning, at least 80 people have died, all in China. .. Sources: National Health Commission of the People’s Republic of China; local governments. Note: Data as of 10 p.m E.T., Jan. 26 The disease has been detected in at least 10 other countries, almost all involving people who traveled from China. .. Five cases have been confirmed in the United States: a woman in her 60s in Chicago, a man in his 30s in Washington state, two people in southern California, and one person in Arizona.
  8. https://www.cnet.com/how-to/coronavirus-death-toll-rises-to-56-five-us-cases-confirmed-everything-we-know/ Jackson Ryan. Coronavirus death toll jumps to 80, five US cases confirmed: Everything we know. January 26, 2020 2:15 PM PST. The new coronavirus, which has now claimed 80 lives in China, has now been identified in California and Arizona. A never-before-seen virus detected in the Chinese city of Wuhan has claimed 80 lives and infected more than 2,000 Chinese citizens with a pneumonia-like illness, according to China's National Health Commission. The virus was first reported to the World Health Organization on Dec. 31 and has been under investigation since. Chinese scientists have linked the disease to a family of viruses known as coronaviruses, which include the deadly SARS and Middle East respiratory syndrome. .. Here's the breakdown as it stands:
    China: 2,079 confirmed cases
    Thailand: 8 confirmed cases
    US: 5 confirmed cases
    Australia: 5 confirmed cases
    Japan: 4 confirmed cases
    Malaysia: 4 confirmed cases
    Singapore: 4 confirmed cases
    France: 3 confirmed cases
    South Korea: 3 confirmed cases
    Vietnam: 2 confirmed cases
    Canada: 1 presumptive case
    Nepal: 1 confirmed case
  9. https://www.thelocal.de/20200128/first-coronavirus-case-confirmed-in-germany-bavarian-health-ministry German coronavirus patient is first human-to-human case in Europe 28 January 2020 08:36 CET+01:00
  10. https://www.rbc.ru/society/03/02/2020/5e37c8f69a79476ee057c0c0 Вирус из Китая , 03 фев, 10:18 (2020) Поделиться Из России депортируют зараженных коронавирусом иностранцев Возможность депортации из России зараженных коронавирусом 2019-nCoV иностранцев предусмотрена утвержденным главой правительства Михаилом Мишустиным национальным планом по предупреждению завоза и распространения инфекции.
  11. http://rusjev.net/2020/01/23/novyiy-koronavirus-v-kitae-vozmozhno-biologicheskoe-oruzhie/ Новый коронавирус в Китае — возможно биологическое оружие? Январь 23rd, 2020.
  12. https://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2020/jan/24/virus-hit-wuhan-has-two-laboratories-linked-chines/ Virus-hit Wuhan has two laboratories linked to Chinese bio-warfare program. 2020/01.24.
  13. https://ura.news/news/1052416118 Иван Рублев. Поклонская связала эпидемию в Китае с мировым заговором и попыткой госпереворота. 25 января 2020 в 14:23. Депутат Государственной думы РФ Наталья Поклонская считает, что коронавирус в Китае могли запустить специально, чтобы дестабилизировать ситуацию в стране. Об этом она написала в своем Instagram.
  14. https://www.kavkazcenter.com/russ/content/2020/01/26/118732/kitajskij-koronavirus-na-samom-dele-boevoj-virus-vyrvavshijsya-iz-laboratorii-v-ukhani.shtml Китайский коронавирус на самом деле боевой вирус, вырвавшийся из лаборатории в Ухани. 26 января в 17:07. By Bill Gertz - The Washington Times - Friday, January 24, 2020
  15. https://www.kp.ru/daily/27083.7/4154474/?fbclid=IwAR1DGhc7PRU571o8u0r98ujgLB74ZassDnJDtd03fRC9tf2SDiqI4qAwwjY 24 ЯНВ. (2020) 21:21 2020-01-26T20:24:55+03:00 ДМИТРИЙ СТЕШИН. Эпидемия в Китае может стать благом для России.
  16. https://ru.wikisource.org/wiki/Бездарных_несколько_семей_(А._Майков)
    Бездарных несколько семей
    Путем богатства и поклонов
    Владеют родиной моей.
    Стоят превыше всех законов,
    Стеной стоят вокруг царя,
    Как мопсы жадные и злые,
    И простодушно говоря:
    «Ведь только мы и есть Россия!»
    1855 или 1856
  17. https://www.theguardian.com/science/2020/jan/24/lessons-from-sars-outbreak-help-in-race-for-coronavirus-vaccine Hannah Devlin. Lessons from Sars outbreak help in race for coronavirus vaccine. Companies aim to have vaccine in production within 16 weeks before entering testing stage. Fri 24 Jan 2020 18.11 GMT, Lessons from Sars outbreak help in race for coronavirus vaccine. Companies aim to have vaccine in production within 16 weeks before entering testing stage. There are no vaccines or treatments approved for the new coronavirus, but the race is on to develop one.
  18. https://echo.msk.ru/news/2577697-echo.html Около 30 препаратов работают против нового коронавируса – Онищенко. 13:52, 27 января 2020. Около 30 медицинских препаратов работают против нового коронавируса, зарегистрированного в Китае. Об этом сообщил в эфире радиостанции «Эхо Москвы» первый заместитель председателя комитета Госдумы по образованию и науке, врач-эпидемиолог, член Президиума РАН Геннадий Онищенко. «Уже примерно 30 медицинских препаратов, которые сегодня есть, они лечат, они работают против этого вируса. 12 из них – те, которыми мы лечим ВИЧ-инфекцию. Мы их раздаем нашим ВИЧ-инфицированным детям для профилактики – такие как «Индинавир», «Саквинавир». Все эти препараты, слава богу, работают против коронавируса», — сказал он.
  19. https://wwwf.imperial.ac.uk/blog/imperial-medicine/2020/01/24/what-is-the-wuhan-coronavirus-2019-ncov-and-what-do-we-know-about-it-so-far/ John Tregoning. What is the new coronavirus (2019-nCoV) and what do we know about the outbreak so far? 24 January 2020. Dr John Tregoning (JT) from Imperial’s Department of Infectious Disease spoke to the School of Public Health’s Prof Steven Riley (SR) about the coronavirus outbreak that recently began in Wuhan, China. .. Where did this coronavirus come from – did it ‘jump’ from reptiles or bats?// SR: The first cases have been closely tied to a specific market in Wuhan. These no reliable evidence for it coming from snakes. The closest known virus is found in bats, but we don’t know for sure if this is where it came from. ..
  20. https://www.facebook.com/bbcnewsrussian/videos/177292550346807/ BBC News Russian. Коронавирус: главные вопросы. 2020.01.30 Насколько опасен коронавирус? Как уберечься и не заболеть? На эти и другие важные вопросы отвечает британский профессор факультета медицины Imperial College London Робин Шаток. https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-china-51305526 Coronavirus: Death toll rises as virus spreads to every Chinese region. 2020.01.30
  21. https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/0/coronavirus-infection-china-wuhan-outbreak/ Josh White Sarah Newey Anne Gulland Coronavirus infection: everything you need to know about the outbreak from China. 30 JANUARY 2020 • 7:49AM. .. Professor Robin Shattock, from Imperial College London, said his team had “two vaccine candidates” developed from the genetic sequence of coronavirus provided by Chinese scientists, and some British experts are confident that a vaccine could be available within weeks. // Prof Shattock told Radio 4’s Today programme the vaccines would be ready for use in “animal models” by the middle of next month and they were ready to “rapidly move those into human studies” if required.
  22. https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/news-nation/proof-the-novel-coronavirus-infecting-the-world-is-a-military-bio-weapon-developed-by-china-s-army The "Novel Coronavirus" Infecting the World is a MILITARY BIO-WEAPON Developed by China's Army 01 FEBRUARY 2020. .. We are currently witnessing a major epidemic caused by the 2019 novel coronavirus (2019- nCoV). The evolution of 2019-nCoV remains elusive. We found 4 insertions in the spike glycoprotein (S) which are unique to the 2019-nCoV and are not present in other coronaviruses. Importantly, amino acid residues in all the 4 inserts have identity or similarity to those in the HIV-1 gp120 or HIV-1 Gag. Interestingly, despite the inserts being discontinuous on the primary amino acid sequence, 3D-modelling of the 2019-nCoV suggests that they converge to constitute the receptor binding site. The finding of 4 unique inserts in the 2019-nCoV, all of which have identity /similarity to amino acid residues in key structural proteins of HIV-1 is unlikely to be fortuitous in nature.
  23. http://london.sonoma.edu/Writings/StrengthStrong/invasion.html Jack London. THE UNPARALLELED INVASION. 1910.
  24. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Unparalleled_Invasion The Unparalleled Invasion" is a science fiction story written by Jack London. It was first published in McClure's in July 1910.
  25. https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCv1eKCda0z1W8smWrsqhReA Праздник (2019) Фильм.
    2019.01.03. https://www.kinopoisk.ru/film/1189845/ Праздник год 2019 страна Россия режиссер Алексей Красовский сценарий Алексей Красовский продюсер Алексей Красовский, Юлия Криштофович оператор Сергей Астахов композитор Руслан Лепатов художник Евдокия Замахина монтаж Владимир Зимин, Алексей Красовский жанр комедия, драма, военный, история, ... слова бюджет 4 000 000 руб. премьера (РФ) 3 января 2019 время 73 мин. / 01:13 Блокадный Ленинград. В загородном доме Воскресенских, живущих «на особом положении», собираются шесть человек и курица, которую некому приготовить. Раньше этим занималась кухарка, но её у Воскресенских накануне забрали — снаружи наступили тяжёлые времена, да и внутри ситуация тоже нелегкая: младший сын привёл голодную девушку, старшая дочь — незнакомого мужчину, за которого собирается замуж. До Нового года остаются считанные минуты, а количество проблем растёт как снежный ком. ..

https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019/situation-reports World health organization. Coronavirus disease (COVID-2019) situation reports. 2020.01.21-

There are currently 95,500 confirmed cases and 3,286 deaths from the coronavirus COVID-19 outbreak as of March 05, 2020, 07:35 GMT.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Coronavirus Coronaviruses are a group of viruses that cause diseases in mammals, including humans, and birds. In humans, the virus causes respiratory infections which are typically mild but, in rare cases, can be lethal. In cows and pigs they may cause diarrhea, while in chickens it can cause an upper respiratory disease. There are no vaccines or antiviral drugs that are approved for prevention or treatment.// Coronaviruses are viruses in the subfamily Orthocoronavirinae in the family Coronaviridae, in the order Nidovirales.[4][5] Coronaviruses are enveloped viruses with a positive-sense single-stranded RNA genome and with a nucleocapsid of helical symmetry. The genomic size of coronaviruses ranges from approximately 26 to 32 kilobases, the largest for an RNA virus.// The name "coronavirus" is derived from the Latin corona and the Greek κορώνη (korṓnē, "garland, wreath"), meaning crown or halo. This refers to the characteristic appearance of virions (the infective form of the virus) by electron microscopy, which have a fringe of large, bulbous surface projections creating an image reminiscent of a royal crown or of the solar corona. This morphology is created by the viral spike (S) peplomers, which are proteins that populate the surface of the virus and determine host tropism.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2019–20_Wuhan_coronavirus_outbreak A new coronavirus, designated 2019-nCoV,[31] was identified in Wuhan, Hubei province, China, after people developed pneumonia without a clear cause and for which existing vaccines or treatments were not effective. The virus has shown evidence of human-to-human transmission and its transmission rate (rate of infection)[32] appeared to escalate in mid-January 2020,[33] with several countries other than China reporting cases. The incubation period (time from exposure to developing symptoms) of the virus is between 2 to 14 days and it remains contagious during this time.[34][35] Symptoms include fever, coughing and breathing difficulties and it can be fatal.[36] ..

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Soviet_biological_weapons_program The Soviet Union began a biological weapons program in the 1920s. During World War II, Joseph Stalin was forced to move his biological warfare (BW) operations out of the path of advancing German forces and may have used tularemia against German troops in 1942 near Stalingrad. ..

http://www.istc.int/en/institute/8608 Institute of Highly Pure Biopreparations, Ministry of Public Health of the Russian Federation (Inst. of Highly Pure Preparations) Address 7, Pudozhsakya str., St Petersburg, 197110, Russia

2006.12.07. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC1639509/ Troy Day, Jean-Baptiste André, and Andrew Park. The evolutionary emergence of pandemic influenza. Proc Biol Sci. 2006 Dec 7; 273(1604): 2945–2953. Published online 2006 Aug 22. doi: 10.1098/rspb.2006.3638

2020.01.25. https://www.wired.com/story/ai-epidemiologist-wuhan-public-health-warnings/ An AI Epidemiologist Sent the First Warnings of the Wuhan Virus. The BlueDot algorithm scours news reports and airline ticketing data to predict the spread of diseases like those linked to the flu outbreak in China. 01.25.2020 07:00 AM

2020.01.28. https://nextstrain.org/ncov Genomic epidemiology of novel coronavirus (nCoV). Data updated 2020-01-28. Built with github.com/nextstrain/ncov using data from gisaid-logo. Showing 33 of 33 genomes sampled between Dec 2019 and Jan 2020.

2020.03.03. https://www.youtube.com/watch?time_continue=176&v=XPv2AF0caUA Press Conference on COVID-19 on Mar 1, 2020. Mar 3, 2020. Press Conference by Minister of Health, Labour and Welfare, KATO Katsunobu.

Keywords

Alarmism, Biologic weapon, Biology, China, Coronavirus, Russia

Нииочбп,,,,,