Ork by Pikabu,2021
Ork from Orsk,2023

Ork

Ork (Орк) is elementary unit of the Russian cannon fodder sent or prepared for sending to invade another country.

Ork is poorly educated aggressor, occupant performing an aggressive war.

Usually term «Ork» refers to a Russian soldier sent to war against Ukraine, see «Russian invasion into Ukraine».

Usually term «Ork» refers to a Russian soldier sent to war against Ukraine, see «Russian invasion into Ukraine» and «Dvizhuha»; especially since 2022.02.24 (beginning of the full-scale existential total war against Ukraine).

Orks appear as carriers of the primitive moral: «if we robe neighbors, it is good; if they robe us, that is bad». The closest English equivalent is term «Realpolitik» (Borrowed from German); it refers to the short-term criminal planing of relation with other countries with goal to get maximal profit within few years and the hope to avoid the punishment.

Medinski Vladimir Rostislavovich (Мединский Владимир Ростиславович) attributes such a mentality to genetic defects of moscovites (see also «Лишняя хромосома Мединского», in Russian).

Many Orks have committed grave crimes before going to war, and agree to risk their lives and to kill more people in exchange for a promise of official forgiveness from the Russian usurper.

Orks are dangerous and cruel. Human civilization is supposed to defend itself against orks.

The definition of the term and the description are loaded with scientific goals.

The interpretation is not supposed to cause hatred with respect to orks.

Orsk and ethimology

Moscovia

Buffer zone

Orsk

Orsk (red mark) at the map of Moscovia

«Ork» is Latin transliteration of Russian term «Орк», apparently created from the name of city Orsk (Орск) at Moscovia. Orsk is located at South of Moscovia, near the border with Kazakhstan.
Orsk is terrorized by the administration of the IriklinskayaPowerPlant (Ириклинская ГЭС). If operators of IriklinskayaPowerPlant do not collect sufficient bribes from the Orsk people, the operators accumulate water in the reservoire during winter in order to perform the transit spillway («транзитный водосброс») in the spring, causing the catastrophic flood. Such an incident occurred in April 2024: as there was no reserve capacity to accommodate meltwater, rather than reducing the discharge through the spillway during the April snowmelt, the operators actually increased the volume of water being discharged. Citizen of Orsk loss their homes, their business and go to robe other counties, in particular, Ukraine (see Dvizhuha ), confirming the ethnology and the sad meaning of term «Ork». The terrorists' obvious goal was the destruction of civilians' homes in order to force them to participate in the aggressive war. Such an interpretation shows good agreement with the general concept that the corruption at Moscovia not only got the large scale but become a common, tipical phenomenon that determines the entire life of the Russian offees.

Term «Ork» («Орк») becomes popular since the beginning of the Russian invasion into Ukraine (year 2014). Many Orks are sent to the aggressive war in Ukraine (so called «Dvizhuha») from Orsk or through Orsk.

However, term «Ork» may refer to any Russian nazi, aggressor, occupant, even if he (or she) never had been at Orsk (and perhaps does not even know about existence of this city).

Term «Ork» sounds similar to the generic name «Orc» from the fiction novel by John Ronald Reuel Tolkien and has similar meaning, denoting the dangerous stupid cruel brutal creature used as cannon fodder in an aggressive war.
In Russian, both terms «Ork» and «Orc» correspond to the same word «Орк»; that may cause confusions.

Dvizhuha and collapse of RF

In century 21, the Russian orks play the crucial role in the Putin World war and especially in so-called Dvizhuha against Ukraine and in the expected collapse of RF.

The main goal of Dvizhuha is distraction of the Russian usurer, but also reduction of population of Moscovia to the quantity that is necessary to provide the export of natural resources and to maintain the usurper and his accomplices; in particular, the underground bunkers.
The orks are used as the cannon fodder.

To year 2026, the Russian dvizhuha against Ukraine seems is important mechanism that reduces the population of orks.
Since year 2022, the daily consumption of the Russian cannon fodder grows roughly as a linear function of time; each day, the consumption increases, roughly, for one ors/day. After 1000 days (roughly, after 3 years; that refers to year 2025) the mean consumption exceeds a 1000 orks/day. The «Minfin» confirms that at least to year 2026 this general trend still holds.
The linear growth of the daily consumption of the Russian cannon fodder determines the quadratic growth of the total military loss.

A little bit more adjusted formula estimates the total Russian military loss \(L\) as follows:

\( L \!=\! 0.8 d^2\)

\( L \!=\! 0.6 d^2\)

      Graphic of Dvizhuha
\[ L = 0.6 \ d^2 \]

Here, \(d\) is time measured in days since the beginning of year 2022.
Coefficient 0.6 in the formula above appears as the adjusting parameter, an empiric constant.
Day 2022.01.01, the loss \(L\) is approximated to zero.
(The actual full-scale Russian invasion begins 2022.02.24)
The dependence above is shown in figure at right with yellow curve.
This curve has special name, «Graphic of Dvizhuha».
In Russian: «График Движухи» or «График спецоперации» or «График Специальной Военной Операции».
The Russian officials confirm, that the Dvishuha follows the graphic. To year 2026, the Russian official publications do not suggest any other «График Специальной Военной Операции», different from the yellow curve in figure above.

The Graphic of Dvizhuha gives the rough bound, how long the dvizhuha May last.
If the same trend holds for tens of years, then after 40 years of the Dvizhuha, the Russian Military Loss exceeds the declared population of Russia. That can be considered as the collapse of RF.
Within this model the Collapse of RF is expected to happen during 21th century. the Russian dictator or his succeeder happen to be our of the cannon fodder and cannot continue the Putin World war.
The gerankenexperiment, the sci-fi extension of this model is loaded as utopia «Tartaria».
It describes the almost complete loss of population, industry, ecology, culture and moral at Moscoiva and the attempt to build them up again beginning from almost nothing.

The estimate above can be corrected taking into account that not all population of Moscovia want to become orks and to die as a cannon fodder.
The statistical analysis of the election frauds at Moscovia (Churov Comb («Пила Чурова»), Pamfilova Peak («Пик Памфиловой»)) indicate that of order of a million moscovites vote for the usurper and his party; other ballots for these crimes are added by the corrupted election committees. This model suggests that the usurper may happen low in orks after few years of the Dvizhuha. Then, the most the supporters of the usurped be spent; the collapse of RF is expected to happen before year 2030.

The similar estimate comes also from the completely independent assumptions.
In the statistical historic model Duration, the collapse of RF occurs no later than year 2040 at the significance level 83%.

It will be interesting to see, which model of utilization of orks and collapse of RF shows better agreement with the more recent publications.

Gallery

All world will be our!

Warning

Definitions of terms are constructed in TORI with scientific goals.

The good definitions are necessary to call things with their proper names.

The interpretation suggested is not an attempt to provoke hatred with respect to Russian soldiers.
Russian writer Tolstoy Lev Nikolayevich (Толстой Лев Николаевич, see picture at right) indicates (see Hadji-Murad#17, Russian original: «Хаджи-Мурат#17») that word «Hatred» is not an adequate term to qualify senses caused by the war crimes committed by the Russian soldiers.
However, the demilitarization and denazification of orks seems to be essential for ability fo develop any kind of science, as well as for preserving of the Human civilization.

The description above should not be interpreted as an attempt to affect the historic events.
It is not an attempt to prolong agony of the putin's RR.
It is not an attempt boost the collapse of RF.
However, Editor still holds his rights (and even duty) to call things with their proper names, to propose definitions for terms that cause confusions, to construct the historic models and to compare their predictions to a posteriory observations.

References

2008.09.30. https://www.gazeta.ru/army/news/2022/03/03/17376199.shtml 03 марта 2022, 20:28 Путин заявил, что спецоперация на Украине идет по плану Анастасия Лежепекова Президент России Владимир Путин, выступая на заседании Совбеза, заявил, что спецоперация РФ на Украине «идет по плану». Об этом сообщает ТАСС. Глава государства сообщил об этом после минуты молчания по погибшим в ходе операции военнослужащим. «Хочу сказать, что специальная военная операция идет в строгом соответствии с графиком, по плану. Все поставленные задачи успешно решаются», — сказал президент. ..
2022.03.03. https://www.bbc.com/russian/media-60612327 Владимир Путин: "Специальная военная операция идет по плану" // Подпись к видео, Владимир Путин: "Спецоперация идет по плану" Опубликовано 3 марта 2022 // 3 марта президент России Владимир Путин выступил перед советом безопасности и рассказал о потерях на Украине. "Специальная военная операция ВС РФ на Украине идет строгом в соответствии с графиком, по плану, все поставленные задачи решаются," – заявил президент Путин.
2022.03.03. https://tass.ru/armiya-i-opk/13955421 Путин: в ходе операции на Украине солдаты РФ действуют мужественно, как настоящие герои // Президент добавил, что специальная военная операция идет строго в соответствии с графиком // © Андрей Горшков/ пресс-служба президента РФ/ ТАСС НОВО-ОГАРЕВО, 3 марта. /ТАСС/.
2022.09.16. https://mainichi.jp/english/articles/20220916/p2g/00m/0in/008000c Ukraine's president: Mass grave found near recaptured city // September 16, 2022 (Mainichi Japan) https://www.asahi.com/ajw/articles/14721729 https://www.asahi.com/ajw/articles/14721729 Ukraine searches for its dead at burial site that Russians held .. REUTERS September 18, 2022 at 13:00 JST
2023.01.27. https://oren.mk.ru/social/2023/01/27/v-zonu-specoperacii-iz-orska-otpravilis-17-dobrovolcev.html В зону спецоперации из Орск]а отправились 17 добровольцев В зону специальной военной операции из Оренбуржья отправилась очередная команда добровольцев. На защиту Родины от неонацистов на Украину из Орска 27 января уехали 17 человек, сообщили в администрации Восточной столицы региона. Горожане устроили воинам торжественные проводы. Их напутствовали и благославляли. Ребята отправились в зону СВО с твердой верой в Победу и в то, что обязательно вернутся. Авторы: ЕЛЕНА АНИФАТЬЕВА
2023.10.10. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cRZdnwFaQg0 «ХАМАС ДРУЖЕСТВЕННЫЙ НАРОД!» OmTV UA Oct 10, 2023 - - - Украина виновата.. Потому что отделились от России..
2024.04.04. https://www.uralskweek.kz/2024/04/04/sbros-vody-iz-irikly-mozhet-vyrasti-do-2400-kubometrov-v-sekundu/ 04.04.2024 в 15:00 // Сброс воды из Ириклы может вырасти до 2400 кубометров в секунду // — До полного заполнения Ириклинского водохранилища осталось полметра. Возможен еще более высокий уровень сброса, вплоть до транзитного, — заявил глава Орска. ..
2024.11.26. https://dzen.ru/a/Z0XIes-2mnEJfBQm Семерых жителей Орска, погибших на СВО, похоронили на родине 26 ноября 2024
2024.12.23. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8o31WHwGq2s Число УНИЧТОЖЕННЫХ россиян достигает 2 ТЫС. в сутки! .. FREEДOM. LIVE Dec 23, 2024 .. Об этом и многом другом в прямом эфире телеканала FREEДОМ рассказал военный эксперт, руководитель проектов по безопасности Центра глобалистики "Стратегия ХХІ" Павел Лакийчук.
2026.02.21. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CJIINW5Tbvw BBC identifies names of 186,102 Russian soldiers killed in Ukraine war | BBC News Feb 21, 2026
https://tolkiengateway.net/wiki/Orcs Orcs were a race of humanoid creatures best known for their service as footsoldiers and slaves to the Dark Lords of Middle-earth. Even when not in thralldom to an evil master, Orcs rarely if ever had non-violent interactions with Elves, Men, or Dwarves. They were known by many names by the various peoples of Middle-earth. ..
https://mthoyibi.wordpress.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/hadji-murad_leo-tolstoy.pdf HADJI MURAD by Lev Nikolayevich Tolstoy First Published in 1904 Translation by Louise and Aylmer Maude. .. CHAPTER XVII .. No one spoke of hatred of the Russians. the feeling experienced by all the Chechens, from the youngest to the oldest, was stronger than hate. It was not hatred, for they did not regard those Russian dogs as human beings, but it was such repulsion, disgust, and perplexity at the senseless cruelty of these creatures, that the desire to exterminate them — like the desire to exterminate rats, poisonous spiders, or wolves — was as natural an instinct as that of self-preservation
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bucha_massacre The Bucha massacre (Ukrainian: Бучанська різанина, romanised: Buchanska rizanyna; Russian: Резня в Буче, romanised: Reznya v Buche) was the mass murder of Ukrainian civilians and prisoners of war[12] by the Russian Armed Forces during the fight for and occupation of the city of Bucha as part of the Russian invasion of Ukraine.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Orc_(slang) Orc (Cyrillic: орк, romanised: ork), plural orcs (Russian: орки, romanized: orki, Ukrainian: орки, romanized: orky), is a pejorative commonly used in Ukraine[1] to refer to a Russian soldier..
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Izium_mass_graves On 15 September 2022, several mass graves, including one site containing at least 440 bodies, were found in woods near the Ukrainian city of Izium after it was recaptured by Ukrainian forces during the Russian invasion of Ukraine..
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Special_military_operation "Special military operation"[a] (also "special operation", and abbreviated as "SMO" or "SVO", or Russian: спецопера́ция, romanized: spetsoperatsiya, Ukrainian: спецопера́ція) is the official term used by the Russian government to describe the Russo-Ukrainian war that began in February 2022 following the Russian invasion of Ukraine. .. It is widely considered a euphemism intended to minimize the invasion and obfuscate the war's original objective of annexing all Russophone regions of Ukraine.
https://svo.rf.gd/region/56/4.html?i=1 Список погибших в СВО против Украины » Оренбургская область Дата Кто Возраст Откуда приехал погибнуть в СВО Подтверждение 📰 11.04.2023 Блинов Дмитрий 44 года Оренбургская область, г. Орск ..
https://200.zona.media/Оренбургская_область/Орск.html Список погибших на войне с Украиной из Оренбургской области, Орск
https://index.minfin.com.ua/en/russian-invading/casualties/ Casualties of the Russian troops in Ukraine (updated daily since 2022)

Keywords

«Duration»,
«Dvizhuha»,
«Moscovia»,
«Nebenzing»,
«Грушовая Балка»,

Quiz:
How would you define term «Ork»?