File:Iraq 121581207 frontex eastern borders v2-nc.png

Summary

National content of "migrants" believed to be recruited by agents of Centrcurort for the hybrid attack against the European Union in January-Octobe of 2021; picture by BBC ^[1]:

Number of illegal crossing on the EU's Esatern land bordwrs by nacionality, January to October 2021

Iraq 3868

Afghanistan 590

Syria 256

Congo-Brazzaville 207

Russia 182

Original filename:

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Description

https://www.bbc.com/news/59233244 Belarus border crisis: How are migrants getting there? By Reality Check BBC News

With several thousand migrants stranded along the border between Poland and Belarus, the EU is taking action against those it believes are helping migrants travel to its borders.

We've looked at the EU's claims about the migrants, and at how they are getting to the border. Where are the migrants coming from?

Data from the EU's border force, Frontex, shows the main country of origin for migrants detected crossing the bloc's eastern land borders so far this year is Iraq.

There are smaller numbers from Afghanistan and Syria, as well as other countries.

Migrants EU

The numbers have been growing steadily since the summer, and these are just the crossings that are detected and reported to Frontex.

The vast majority of them have arrived in Minsk - the capital of Belarus - by air, and then travelled overland to the borders of EU states including Poland and Lithuania.

Map showing main direct flight routes from Middle East to Belarus

Minsk is served by direct flights from destinations across the Middle East - including Beirut, Dubai and Baghdad.

The Belarus state carrier Belavia operates flights from Istanbul and Antalya in Turkey, as well as from Dubai. Turkish Airlines has regular flights to Minsk from Istanbul.

What are the accusations against Belarus?

The European Commission has accused Belarus of luring migrants to Minsk with the false promise of easy entry to the EU.

"Upon arrival they are being pushed to the border..." said EU spokesperson Peter Stano.

Poland and Lithuania have for some months accused the authorities in Belarus of orchestrating the arrival of migrants.

Media caption,

A Lithuanian official told the BBC that, earlier this year, Belarus had simplified the visa process for would be migrants from Iraq to enable them to enter as "tourists".

EU statements have made clear they view the crisis as an attempt by Belarus to pressurise the EU over the sanctions it imposed on the country in June.

EU to widen Belarus sanctions as border row grows

Belarus has denied this, and has said it is trying to repatriate stranded migrants along the border, but that many have refused to return to their home countries. Is Belarus encouraging migrants?

President Lukashenko told the BBC that it was "possible" that his country had helped migrants into the EU, but he denied inviting them to Belarus.

Media caption, WATCH: Highlights of the Belarus leader's exclusive interview with the BBC’s Steve Rosenberg.

Mr Lukashenko had warned previously that he would not stop would-be migrants.

Over the course of the year, the Belarus state carrier, Belavia, has increased the number of flights from Istanbul, but has denied involvement in facilitating the arrival of migrants.

Belarus also now allows visa-free travel for a stay of up to 30 days for citizens of 76 countries, although not for those from Iraq, Afghanistan or Syria.

Both Poland and Lithuania say they've found evidence on migrants they intercepted which shows how Belarusian authorities helped them arrange their journeys to the border.

We've reported previously how a network of travel agents, airlines and smugglers have been involved in enabling migrants to get visas, leave their home countries in the Middle East, fly to Minsk and travel on to the EU's borders.

Image source, Getty Images Image caption, A Kurdish family from Iraq near the Poland-Belarus border

Once at the border, some migrants have told the BBC how Belarusian soldiers cut through the border fencing at night time to allow them to cross into Poland.

Accounts given by migrants to NGOs working along the border corroborate media reports that Belarus border guards have been directing people through the forests to the border.

Videos published by Belarusian media have shown Belarusian border guards guiding migrants along a highway towards a forest that runs alongside Poland's border. What is the EU doing to prevent them coming?

With the EU increasing diplomatic pressure, some routes to Belarus are being restricted or closed off.

Turkey's civil aviation authority has said that until further notice, Iraqi, Syrian and Yemeni nationals will not be allowed to fly from Turkish airports to Minsk.

And the UAE has also barred those nationalities from flights to Minsk from its airports.

Image source, Getty Images Image caption, The state airline Belavia is already under sanctions from the EU

Belavia has announced that it will no longer accept citizens of these countries on its flights out of Turkey.

And it's said that it's strengthening its passenger checks for all flights from Dubai.

Aeroflot, which has regular flights between Moscow and Minsk, has denied that its flights are being used by migrants trying to reach Belarus.

One commercial airline that provides direct flights between Syria and Belarus, Cham Wings, said it was suspending flights to Minsk.

Iraq has repatriated more than 400 of its nationals from Belarus on a special flight, and more flights are reportedly planned to take would-be migrants home.

What happens to migrants that get across?

The Polish border guard service says there have been 33,000 attempts to cross the border illegally so far this year, with 17,000 in October alone.

More than 4,200 migrants have been apprehended crossing the Lithuanian border from Belarus this year, according to authorities there.

Some of those who make it across are being held at migrant detention centres.

But some are being pushed back to Belarus by Polish border guards - although international law states that anyone seeking protection must be given access to the asylum process even if they have crossed a border illegally.

Poland's parliament has passed an amendment allowing border guards to immediately expel migrants who cross the border illegally, which is likely to be signed into law.

A similar law was passed in Lithuania in August. Since then about 6,800 migrants have been stopped from entering Lithuania.

Read more from Reality Check

More on this story Poland blocks hundreds of migrants at Belarus border Published 8 November

How Belarus is helping ‘tourists’ break into the EU Published 22 October

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Interpretation

From the data one can gess, that the most of intervention is performed by thousands of Iraqi, coordinated by hundreds of Russian instructors who are, perhaps, agents of KGB, Like Boshirov and Petrov.

No any verification of the original data is found, not comparison with any independent measurement of the national content of the aggressors. The list of intruders is also not available.

However, the Centrkurort staff, having information about their customers, may suggest the correction and prove it with list of the intruders.

References