Propaganda spectroscopy

Warning! This article is under construction!

Propaganda spectroscopy refers to the attempt to extract meaningful information from dirty sources: rumors, propaganda (including the intentional frauds in the pump and dump style) and even the apparently mistaken texts.

The title refers to analogy with the treatment of "weak", "noisy" spectra from very far objets with goal to estimate the redshifts of clusters of galaxies and to recover their spatial distribution . In that work, the spectra with signal/noise ratio of order of few percent had been treated.

This assumption — that even biased or falsified data retain a non-zero informational correlation with reality — constitutes the basic postulate of propaganda spectroscopy. Once some publication is recognized, identified as propaganda, its non-trivial statements can be treated using the Rule of Newspeak. Tools for such a recognition and interpretation form the matter of this article.

Definition

Propaganda spectroscopy is method of comparative linguistic and contextual analysis aimed at constructing scientific concepts from correlated distortions in doubtful and propagandistic data.

Introduction

It is difficult to create a generator of pseudo-random numbers such that its results show zero correlation with any other algorithm that do not use explicitly an equivalent generator.

In particular, the propagandistic publications cannot be used as such a generator, even while the propagandists intentionally try to misinform their victims.

In the simplest approach the idea is to calibrate, qualify the sources of information. If for some article, some book, some author, some newspaper, some site the internal contradictions are revealed, or apparent contradictions with already known and established observations, then such a source of information can be qualified as propaganda. By default, all non-trivial statements of propaganda are inverted, as it is described in article Rule of Newspeak.

In many cases, after such a translation from Newspeak, the amount of internal contradictions reduce, and the translated message show good agreement with often independent texts.

The more advanced approach may reveal any other, higher-order correlations an cross-correlations in the analyzed texts.

The analysis may use the inverse modeling:

Which event(s) could be misinterpreted by the propagandists in such a way that produces the observed propagandistic publications?

In general case, the Propaganda spectroscopy appears as a kind of a Decryption based on knowledge of general principles of construction of propaganda.
For the difficult cases of the Propaganda spectroscopy, the whole statements (both correct and not-correct) appear as analogies of the letters at the standard encription/decription procedures of century 20 (see, for example, «Enigma»).

Historical signal extraction from propagandistic data

1. Qualification of sources of information

Some authors, some Journals, some sites do not publish propagandistic texts.

The texts and data from these sources of information can be used "as is".

Such a source is qualified as Authoritative source of information.

The less is the concentration of meaningless statements, apparent misprints, errors, mistakes, internal contradictions, contradictions with direct observations are found in the source of the intonation, the more reliable, more trustworthy, more confinable are the statements of the source of information.

If many statements of the some source contradict each other or contradict direct oservations, the messages can be qualified as propaganda. Then, the language is qualified as Newspeak, and the messages can be translated, for example, to English, using the Rule of Newspeak. At such a translation, all non-trivial statements of the message are inverted. Often, after such an inversion, the amount of the internal contradictions in the message reduce, and the agreement with direct observations improves.

These two extreme cases, Authoritative source of information and the radical propaganda are simplest for the semantic analysis.

All the intermediate cases are qualified as "noisy"; for the use of such messages, more advanced analysis is required.

2. Calibration

identify neutral anchor statements (dates, numbers, weather, geographic terms).

3. Noise characterization

Classify stylistic bias: euphemism, negation, hyperbole, repetition.

Often, the basing style remains the same for a long message, or publications of some authors, for some newspaper, for some site.

In some cases, the introduction of some "correction coefficient" may have sense.

4. Cross-correlation

Compare multiple outlets or successive editions to find consistent omissions or synchronized denials.

5. scaling

apply Rule of Newspeak to invert explicit denials into likely assertions.

For some sources the statements of the original text should be a little bit smoothed or a little bit exaggerated - with "positive coefficient" for the Authoritative source of information and with the "negative coefficient" - for the propaganda.

6. Loop correction

identify predictable emotional amplifiers per Cognitive loop of propaganda; estimate behavioral intent.

7. Signal reconstruction

infer the most probable factual narrative consistent with contradictions and lags.

Examples

The *Bologoe-Vyshny Volochek

train-crash rumor (“Спецгруз”)

Early reports of the Fukushima disaster (March 2011)

Approximate contamination map, late March 2011 (data for March 14-21)

(This section is written by ChatGPT)

The first public plume simulations outside Japan were issued by the IRSN (France) on 17 March 2011 and by ZAMG (Austria) on 22 March 2011, while the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) compiled aerial survey data 17–19 March 2011 but released results only on 22 March. Within Japan, no ground-contamination maps were made public during this period. The first official radiological maps accessible in English appeared years later in the IAEA Technical Volume 3 (2015).

Independent researcher D.Yu.Kouznetsov prepared an approximate contour map of contamination at Honshu. The map had been posted at the University of Electro-Communications site in late March 2011 . The original URL is no more valid; however, the picture is transferred to mizugadro and is shown at right. This map may represent one of the earliest publicly accessible ground-dose projections contours for Honshu.

Under the method of Propaganda spectroscopy, the multi-day discrepancy between available data and domestic publication illustrates the informational damping typical of a Cognitive loop of propaganda: official reassurances persisted even when external analyses already implied critical danger. Such a delay functioned as a cognitive buffer, preserving bureaucratic self-confidence at the cost of public safety.

Chronology of early reports

Date	Source	Type of report
17 March 2011	IRSN (France)	Plume simulation over Pacific
17–19 March 2011	U.S. DOE	Aerial survey, internal data compilation
22 March 2011	U.S. DOE	Public release of aerial survey results
22 March 2011	ZAMG (Austria)	Plume simulation
Late March 2011	D.Yu.Kouznetsov / TORI Wiki	Ground contamination contour map (Honshu)
2015	IAEA Technical Volume 3	Official radiological maps (English)

Quarrel between Hitler and Stalin

1941 *TASS* communiqué denying imminent war

Sovetism (Sovietism)

The Current Generation of Soviet People Will Live Under Communism

2022 Dvizhuha

Full-scale war as most destructive part of the Russian invasion into Ukraine.

Demilitarization and denazification narrative in Russian propaganda.

Warnings

Analysis of propaganda texts may induce emotional fatigue or secondary misinformation; cross-check with verifiable archives.

References

Keywords

«1939.08.19.Речь Сталина», «1939.11.26.Нота», «1939.11.30.Гавас», «1939.12.16.ТАСС», «1941.06.14.Сообщение ТАСС», «Alternative Math», «Appeasing aggression», «Bologoe-Vyshny Volochek train crash» «Buffer Zone», «Cognitive loop of propaganda», «Decoding», «Decription», «Demilitarization and denazification», «Duration», «Encription», «Enigma», «Fascism», «Fukushima disaster», «Gelsomino nel paese dei bugiardi», «Gleiwitz incident», «Gravitsapa», «Historic model», «History», «Information warfare», «Katyn-2», «[[]]», «Mainila incident», «Mechanism of history», «MH17», «Motivated reasoning», «New World Order», «Noise», «Orwell1984», «Propaganda», «Rule of Newspeak», «Signal analysis», «Signal to noise ratio», «Sovetism», «Spectroscopy»,

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